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Most lottery winners go broke within a few years

From bullshitopedia
Most lottery winners go broke within a few years
UNSUPPORTED
"About 70 percent of lottery winners go bankrupt within a few years of winning."
Domain Economy & Labor
Tactic Statistical & Evidentiary Distortion
Era Current
First seen 2000s
Origin A statistic widely attributed to the National Endowment for Financial Education and repeated in news stories and personal-finance content
Last reviewed 2026-10-29
Further reading: books on Economy & Labor

The statistic that 70 percent of lottery winners go broke is often credited to the National Endowment for Financial Education. NEFE has said the figure did not come from its research. Studies of lottery winners give a more mixed picture: modest winners do not escape financial trouble, while large winners generally end up wealthier.

The claim

The figure appears in countless articles warning about sudden wealth.

What the evidence shows

  • No source. The 70 percent figure cannot be traced to a published study.
  • Florida study. Economists Scott Hankins, Mark Hoekstra and Paige Marie Skiba found that Florida winners of $50,000 to $150,000 were less likely to file for bankruptcy right after winning but caught up with smaller winners within a few years.
  • Swedish studies. Research on Swedish lottery winners found that large prizes produced lasting gains in wealth.

Why it persists

Stories of ruined winners are dramatic, while the many who manage well rarely make the news.

Sources

  • Scott Hankins, Mark Hoekstra and Paige Marie Skiba, "The Ticket to Easy Street? The Financial Consequences of Winning the Lottery," Review of Economics and Statistics 93, no. 3 (2011).
  • David Cesarini, Erik Lindqvist, Matthew J. Notowidigdo and Robert Östling, "The Effect of Wealth on Individual and Household Labor Supply: Evidence from Swedish Lotteries," American Economic Review 107, no. 12 (2017).