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Library:Conspiracy

From bullshitopedia
Conspiracy
Author Michael Shermer
First published 2022
ISBN 978-1-4214-4445-1 unverified
Role Analysis
Domains Culture, Religion & Society
Politics & Elections
Tactics Conspiracy Theory

Conspiracy is a 2022 book by Michael Shermer.

Summary

Michael Shermer, founding publisher of Skeptic magazine, explores why people believe conspiracy theories. The book's subtitle is Why the Rational Believe the Irrational.

Real conspiracies

Shermer emphasizes that some conspiracies are real, such as Watergate and the Tuskegee syphilis study, and that suspicion of powerful institutions can be rational. He argues this helps explain why conspiracy thinking is so common.

Explanations

He discusses psychological factors, including the tendency to see patterns and agency where none exists, and social factors, such as group identity and distrust of authority. He distinguishes between "constructive conspiracism," a reasonable alertness to possible plots, and beliefs that persist despite evidence.

Evaluating claims

Shermer offers criteria for judging whether a conspiracy theory is likely to be true, such as how many people would need to keep a secret, how competent they would need to be and whether the theory grows to explain away contrary evidence. He also discusses how to talk with people who believe conspiracy theories.

Relevance to Bullshitopedia

The book provides tools for distinguishing real conspiracies from implausible theories, relevant to many conspiracy-theory entries in Bullshitopedia.