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Benford's Law proves Biden's 2020 votes were fabricated

From bullshitopedia
Benford's Law proves Biden's 2020 votes were fabricated
FALSE
"Digit patterns in vote totals violate Benford's Law and prove fabrication."
Domain Politics & Elections
Tactic Pseudoscience / Junk Science
Statistical & Evidentiary Distortion
Era Current
First seen 2020
Origin Social media posts and amateur analyses, November 2020
Last reviewed 2026-11-03
Further reading: books on Politics & Elections

The claim that Benford's Law proves Biden's 2020 votes were fabricated applies a fraud-detection idea to data it does not suit.

What the evidence shows

  • Wrong tool for precinct data. Benford's Law concerns the first digits of numbers that span several orders of magnitude. Precinct vote counts are limited by precinct size and do not follow it.
  • Experts say it is inappropriate. Election-data researchers, including political scientist Walter Mebane, have written that first-digit tests on precinct counts are unreliable.
  • False positives are common. Applying it would flag many clean elections as fraudulent.

Why it persists

A mathematical name gives an analysis an air of authority.

Lessons for readers

  • Ask whether a statistical test was designed for the type of data being tested.

See also

Sources

  • Mebane, W. R., research papers on election forensics.
  • University of Maryland and other academic commentary, 2020.